New York Subways at the Sixth Seal (Revelation 6)

How vulnerable are NYC’s underwater subway tunnels to flooding?Ashley Fetters
New York City is full of peculiar phenomena—rickety fire escapes; 100-year-old subway tunnelsair conditioners propped perilously into window frames—that can strike fear into the heart of even the toughest city denizen. But should they? Every month, writer Ashley Fetters will be exploring—and debunking—these New York-specific fears, letting you know what you should actually worry about, and what anxieties you can simply let slip away.
The 25-minute subway commute from Crown Heights to the Financial District on the 2/3 line is, in my experience, a surprisingly peaceful start to the workday—save for one 3,100-foot stretch between the Clark Street and Wall Street stations, where for three minutes I sit wondering what the probability is that I will soon die a torturous, claustrophobic drowning death right here in this subway car.
The Clark Street Tunnel, opened in 1916, is one of approximately a dozen tunnels that escort MTA passengers from one borough to the next underwater—and just about all of them, with the exception of the 1989 addition of the 63rd Street F train tunnel, were constructed between 1900 and 1936.
Each day, thousands of New Yorkers venture across the East River and back again through these tubes buried deep in the riverbed, some of which are nearing or even past their 100th birthdays. Are they wrong to ponder their own mortality while picturing one of these watery catacombs suddenly springing a leak?
Mostly yes, they are, says Michael Horodniceanu, the former president of MTA Capital Construction and current principal of Urban Advisory Group. First, it’s important to remember that the subway tunnel is built under the riverbed, not just in the river—so what immediately surrounds the tunnel isn’t water but some 25 feet of soil. “There’s a lot of dirt on top of it,” Horodniceanu says. “It’s well into the bed of the bottom of the channel.”
And second, as Angus Kress Gillespie, author of Crossing Under the Hudson: The Story of the Holland and Lincoln Tunnels, points out, New York’s underwater subway tunnels are designed to withstand some leaking. And withstand it they do: Pumps placed below the floor of the tunnel, he says, are always running, always diverting water seepage into the sewers. (Horodniceanu says the amount of water these pumps divert into the sewer system each day numbers in the thousands of gallons.)
Additionally, MTA crews routinely repair the grouting and caulking, and often inject a substance into the walls that creates a waterproof membrane outside the tunnel—which keeps water out of the tunnel and relieves any water pressure acting on its walls. New tunnels, Horodniceanu points out, are even built with an outside waterproofing membrane that works like an umbrella: Water goes around it, it falls to the sides, and then it gets channeled into a pumping station and pumped out.
Of course, the classic New York nightmare scenario isn’t just a cute little trickle finding its way in. The anxiety daydream usually involves something sinister, or seismic. The good news, however, is that while an earthquake or explosion would indeed be bad for many reasons, it likely wouldn’t result in the frantic flooding horror scene that plays out in some commuters’ imaginations.
The Montague Tube, which sustained severe damage during Hurricane Sandy.
MTA New York City Transit / Marc A. Hermann
Horodniceanu assures me that tunnels built more recently are “built to withstand a seismic event.” The older tunnels, however—like, um, the Clark Street Tunnel—“were not seismically retrofitted, let me put it that way,” Horodniceanu says. “But the way they were built is in such a way that I do not believe an earthquake would affect them.” They aren’t deep enough in the ground, anyway, he says, to be too intensely affected by a seismic event. (The MTA did not respond to a request for comment.)
One of the only real threats to tunnel infrastructure, Horodniceanu adds, is extreme weather. Hurricane Sandy, for example, caused flooding in the tunnels, which “created problems with the infrastructure.” He continues, “The tunnels have to be rebuilt as a result of saltwater corroding the infrastructure.”
Still, he points out, hurricanes don’t exactly happen with no warning. So while Hurricane Sandy did cause major trauma to the tunnels, train traffic could be stopped with ample time to keep passengers out of harm’s way. In 2012, Governor Andrew Cuomo directed all the MTA’s mass transit services to shut down at 7 p.m. the night before Hurricane Sandy was expected to hit New York City.
And Gillespie, for his part, doubts even an explosion would result in sudden, dangerous flooding. A subway tunnel is not a closed system, he points out; it’s like a pipe that’s open at both ends. “The force of a blast would go forwards and backwards out the exit,” he says.
So the subway-train version of that terrifying Holland Tunnel flood scene in Sylvester Stallone’s Daylight is … unrealistic, right?
“Yeah,” Gillespie laughs. “Yeah. It is.”
Got a weird New York anxiety that you want explored? E-mail tips@curbed.com, and we may include it in a future column.

Biden Continues to Assist the Iranian Nuclear Horn: Daniel 8

President Joe Biden meets supporters and volunteers during a campaign event at a home in Saginaw, Michigan.
President Joe Biden meets supporters and volunteers during a campaign event at a home in Saginaw, Michigan.REUTERS

Biden continues Iran’s access to $10 billion just weeks after its proxy killed three American soldiers

Published March 14, 2024, 7:07 p.m. ET

Just six weeks after an Iran-backed drone strike killed three American soldiers in Jordan, President Biden has approved a sanctions waiver giving Tehran continued access to more than $10 billion — money it can use to import goods and repay debts, freeing up $10 billion elsewhere to spend on terrorism, missiles, nuclear weapons and the repression of Iranian women.

The Senate is sitting on a bill that would lock down the money, and Republicans should do whatever it takes to force an up-or-down vote.

Thursday isn’t the first time Biden has granted Iran massive sanctions relief.

The White House first opened spigots of money last summer after it struck a secret accord with Iran — brokered by Oman, reported by every major newspaper in the country and to this day never acknowledged by the administration.

The United States freed up cash for Iran’s use from previously inaccessible bank accounts and gave China a green light to import as much Iranian oil as Beijing desired.

In exchange, Iran simply agreed not to enrich uranium above the 90% weapons-grade threshold.

The deal is atrocious, of course.

Iran gets paid to expand its nuclear threat — producing more high-enriched uranium just below weapons-grade, installing more advanced centrifuges, building a new underground nuclear facility and limiting access to inspectors — while using the much-needed financial bailout to secure its hold on power and subsidize its malign activities.

The mullahs give up nothing but get a windfall nonetheless.

Under the arrangement, one major pot opened for Iran’s use was an escrow account in Baghdad where Iraq had been putting away money it owed Iran for imports of electricity — a requirement Washington imposed in exchange for allowing Baghdad to buy Iranian electricity at all.

Iranian officials estimated the account’s value at more than $10 billion.

The Biden administration issued a four-month sanctions waiver in July, for the first time authorizing Baghdad to convert the $10 billion from dinar to euros and send it on to Iranian accounts in Oman.

From there, Iran could tap the money for import and debt payments.

The State Department misleads the public by noting the money is not allowed to enter Iran, and Iran can only use it for non-illicit purposes.

But it doesn’t matter where the money sits in the world if Tehran is allowed to use it — and if the money is subsidizing non-illicit payments in one place, it frees up $10 billion elsewhere for illicit transactions.

The Oct. 7 massacre was shockingly not enough to convince the president that showering Tehran with cash is a dangerous policy.

In November, Biden extended the $10 billion waiver for another four months.

Predictably, Iran’s threats to America grew exponentially.

Iran-backed militias in Iraq and Syria escalated attacks on US forces, culminating in the January deaths of those three American soldiers in Jordan.

The Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen escalated missile and drone attacks in the Red Sea.

According to the United Nation’s nuclear watchdog, Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium grew ever-more threatening.

Rather than cut his losses, Biden is doubling down on a bad deal.

The Financial Times this week reported the White House returned to the scene of its last crime — Oman — to trade messages with the ayatollah about his nuclear program and continued Houthi attacks from Yemen.

Biden may very well be negotiating an even larger and worse deal.

Against that backdrop, Biden extended the $10 billion waiver Thursday for another four months.

The moniker “$10 billion waiver” stems from the estimated sum of cash transferred to Iranian accounts last summer.

Iraq has continued to make electricity payments since then, while Iran has tapped the account an unknown number of times, for unknown purposes and for unknown sums.

The Biden administration is keeping secret how much money is now available and how much money Iran already spent.

Rightly outraged by this dangerous policy and its shroud of secrecy, the House passed the No Funds for Iranian Terrorism Act in November by a vote of 307–119.

The legislation is simple: It locks down the $10 billion and any other pot of money Biden tries to free up for Iran.

But the bill languishes in the Senate.

Just hours after news broke that Biden extended the $10 billion waiver, instead of allowing an up-or-down vote on the bill, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer took to the floor to call for the collapse of the democratically elected government of Israel.

For Schumer, apparently, regime change in Israel is the national-security priority — not stopping billions of dollars to the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism.

But as the House demonstrated, if Republicans can force a vote, the legislation could fracture the Democratic caucus and force a showdown with the White House.117

Richard Goldberg, a senior adviser at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, is a former National Security Council official and senior US Senate aide.

Children, women killed in the outer court: Revelation 11

a woman holds a child wrapped in a blanket and cries next to a destroyed building
A Palestinian woman holds toys and a child’s shoe after an Israeli strike in the Remal neighbourhood of Gaza City on Saturday [AFP]

Israel’s war on Gaza live: Children, women killed in Deir el-Balah attack

By Linah Alsaafin

Published On 17 Mar 202417 Mar 2024

  • Israeli attacks on Deir el-Balah in central Gaza killed at least 12 people and wounded many more, including children, according to videos and witnesses.
  • Thirteen aid trucks arrived safely in Jabalia and Gaza City, marking the first convoys to travel from the south to the north of the Gaza Strip without incident in four months.
  • Ceasefire talks could resume in Qatar as early as Sunday, with an Israeli delegation led by Mossad’s spy chief expected in Doha to discuss Hamas’s proposal for a three-stage plan to end the war.
  • At least 31,645 Palestinians have been killed and 73,676 injured in Israeli attacks on Gaza since October 7. The revised death toll in Israel from Hamas’s October 7 attack stands at 1,139 with dozens taken captive.

Biden/Obama free up billions for the Iranian Nuclear Horn: Daniel 8

UN watchdog warns Iran is building up nuclear program without oversight

US frees up billions in sanctions relief to Iran as Tehran proxies wreak havoc in region

Biden administration extends Iranian sanction waiver as Iraq looks to cut energy dependence on Tehran. On Friday, John Kirby said none of the money will be going to Iran.

March 15, 2024 4:35pm EDT

White House national security advisor John Kirby on Friday said the funds from a sanction waiver extended this week by the Biden administration to permit Iraq to purchase energy from Iran will not go to its “mullahs.” 

“None of this money goes to the mullahs. None of this money goes into Tehran. The sanctions relief that is provided actually goes to vendors that provide humanitarian assistance to the Iranian people,” he told Fox News White House correspondent Jacqui Heinrich, during a Friday press briefing. “Not only do the Iraqi people not suffer because of this, the Iranian people aren’t going to suffer because of this.”

“That allows for Iraq to be able to work its way off of Iranian energy so that they can keep the lights on,” Kirby said. 

The Biden administration on Thursday came under criticism after it again extended a sanction waiverdespite repeated pushback from those concerned that Iran could misuse the funds. 

In an email to Fox News Digital, a State Department spokesperson said, “Under these waivers, no money has been permitted to enter Iran.”

Iran

“Money goes straight to the trusted vendor or financial institution in another country.  The money never touches Iran,” the spokesman added in reference to the reported $10 billion in Iraqi payments held in an escrow account. 

The extension was renewed just six weeks after three U.S. service members were killed in Jordan, and more than 30 others injured, in a drone attack by Iran-backed militia in Iraq. 

Despite the administration’s assurances that the sanction waiver has not enabled Tehran to access direct funds, critics of the move remain skeptical. 

“This waiver helped subsidize the murder of three American soldiers in Jordan and non-stop attacks on the U.S. Navy and American-owned ships in the Red Sea,” Richard Goldberg, a Senior Advisor with the Foundation for Defense of Democracies said in a statement on Thursday. “Continuing to give Iran access to billions will only further fuel terrorism, missile proliferation and nuclear escalation.”

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi brought renewed criticism to the waiver after a September agreement that saw the release of five American prisoners in exchange for five Iranian citizens and Washington’s unfreezing of $6 billion in Iranian oil assets previously locked up under U.S. sanctions.

Biden split screen with Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei

In a claim during an NBC interview, Raisi said the funds would be used “wherever we need it.”

“This money belongs to the Iranian people, the Iranian government, so the Islamic Republic of Iran will decide what to do with this money,” Raisi told NBC’s Lester Holt. “Humanitarian means whatever the Iranian people needs, so this money will be budgeted for those needs and the needs of the Iranian people will be decided and determined by the Iranian government.”

A spokesperson for the State Department told Fox News Digital on Thursday that the funds incurred under Iraqi energy imports are held in “restricted accounts” that can only be used “for the purchase of food, medicine, medical devices, agricultural products, and other non-sanctionable transactions.”

“There is no ‘sanctions relief’ in the Iraq electricity waiver,” the spokesman added. “Any suggestion that this waiver sends money to Iran, to support its terrorism or for any other reason, is wholly inaccurate.”

The Biden administration's actions remove about six million acres of potentially oil-rich leases from an upcoming federal lease sale.

The sanction waiver has remained a continuing practice since the Trump administration first implemented it as Iraq looks to cut its energy reliance on Iran.

Iraq has reportedly cut its dependence on Iranian energy imports by more than half since 2020. 

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

The threat to Babylon the Great’s hegemony is real: Daniel 7

China Rusia hegemonía de EE UU
President Vladimir Putin of Russia and President Xi Jinping of China, at a meeting in the Kremlin on March 21, 2023.ALEXEY MAISHEV (AFP/GETTY IMAGES)

The threat to American hegemony is real: China and Russia see historic opportunity

The two powers, which have imposed autocratic rule on most of Eurasia, are likely to view the present moment as ripe to challenge the U.S. order

Ukraine has about a month before it runs out of artillery shells, and the U.S. Congress cannot agree to ship more. Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny is dead. The slaughter in Gaza continues with no end in sight. The Yemeni Houthis are attacking ships in the Red Sea. The North Koreans are testing intercontinental ballistic missiles. In normal times, pessimism can look like an intellectual fad. In times like these, it becomes a starker form of realism.

The post-1945 world order — written into international law, ratified by the United Nations, and kept in place by the balance of nuclear terror among major powers — is hanging by a thread. The United States is divided against itself and stretched to the limits of its capabilities. Europe is waking up to the possibility that, come November, America may no longer fulfill its collective-defense obligations under Article 5 of the NATO treaty. Faced with this new uncertainty, Europe is cranking up its defense production, and European politicians are screwing up the courage to persuade their electorates that they will need to ante up 2% of their GDP to guarantee their own safety.

The Western alliance doesn’t just face the challenge of doubling down on defense while maintaining unity across the Atlantic. It also now faces an “axis of resistance” that might be tempted to threaten Western hegemony with a simultaneous, coordinated challenge. The lynchpin of this axis is the Russia-China “no-limits” partnership. While the Chinese supply the Russians with advanced circuitry for their weapons systems, Russian President Vladimir Putin ships them cheap oil. Together they have imposed autocratic rule over most of Eurasia.

If Ukraine’s exhausted defenders are forced to concede Russian sovereignty over Crimea and the Donbas region, the Eurasian axis of dictators will have succeeded in changing a European land frontier by force. Achieving this will threaten every state on the edge of Eurasia: Taiwan, the Baltic countries, and even Poland. Both dictatorial regimes will use their vetoes on the U.N. Security Council to ratify conquest, effectively consigning the U.N. Charter to history’s dustbin.

This partnership of dictators works in tandem with a cluster of rights-abusing renegades, led by Iran and North Korea. The North Koreans provide Putin with artillery shells while plotting to invade the rest of their peninsula. The Iranians manufacture the drones that terrorize Ukrainians in their trenches. Meanwhile, Iran’s proxies — Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis — are helping Russia and China by tying down America and Israel.

Unless the U.S. can force Israel into a long-term ceasefire, it will find itself struggling to control conflicts on three fronts (Asia, Europe, and the Middle East). Not even a country that outspends its rivals on defense by two to one can maintain a war footing simultaneously across so many theaters.

The idea that democracies around the world will join up with America and Europe against the authoritarian threat seems like an illusion. Instead of joining with the embattled democracies of the Global North, the rising democracies of the Global South — Brazil, India, and South Africa — seem unembarrassed to be aligning with regimes that rely on mass repression, the cantonment of entire populations (the Uighurs in China), and shameless murder (Navalny being only the most recent example).

To be sure, the authoritarian axis currently is united only by what it opposes: American power. It is otherwise divided by its ultimate interests. The Chinese, for example, cannot be overjoyed that the Houthis are blocking freight traffic through the Red Sea. The world’s second most powerful economy doesn’t have all that much in common with an impoverished Muslim resistance army or with theocratic Iran.

Moreover, both Russia and China remain parasitic beneficiaries of a global economy that is sustained by U.S. alliances and deterrence. That is why they still hesitate to challenge the hegemon too directly. However, like sharks, they smell blood in the water. They have not only survived U.S. sanctions but continued to prosper, replacing their dependence on embargoed markets with new markets in Latin America, Asia, and India. Both Russia and China have discovered that American control of the global economy is not what it once was.

This discovery of American weakness might tempt them to risk a joint military challenge. As matters stand, U.S. diplomacy and deterrence have successfully kept the axis divided. CIA Director William Burns and National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan are keeping the channels open to China. Blowback American strikes against Iran have apparently convinced the theocrats to rein in Hezbollah and the militias in Iraq — though not the Houthis, whom nobody seems able to control.

It doesn’t take strategic genius to see the opportunity China and Russia might be contemplating. If they decided to mount an overt challenge to the American order — for example, with a coordinated, simultaneous offensive against Ukraine and Taiwan — the U.S. would struggle to rush weapons and technology into the breach.

Nuclear weapons would not necessarily deter China and Russia from risking a coordinated attempt to take Taiwan and the rest of Ukraine. All parties would pay a horrendous price, but Russia has shown what it is willing to expend in Ukraine, and both China and Russia may believe that there will never be a more opportune moment to overthrow American hegemony. If they were to combine forces, we would face the most serious challenge to the global economic and strategic order since 1945.

Nobody has any idea what the world would be like on the other side of such a confrontation. We cannot even assume, as we have always done, that America would prevail if faced with a simultaneous challenge from two formidable powers. If a pessimist is someone who imagines the worst in order to forestall it, we should all be pessimists. Keeping the authoritarian axis from becoming a full-fledged alliance should be America’s first-order priority.

Michael Ignatieff, Professor of History and Rector Emeritus of Central European University in Vienna, is a former Canadian politician and author of “On Consolation: Finding Solace in Dark Times” (Metropolitan Books, 2021) and “Isaiah Berlin: A Life” (Pushkin Press, 2023).

Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2024.

Devastation in the Outer Court as Israel wages war on Hamas

Devastation in Gaza as Israel wages war on Hamas