Why We Are In Trouble At The Sixth Seal (Revelation 6:12)

Why NRC Nuclear Safety Inspections are Necessary: Indian Point

Dave Lochbaum

This is the second in a series of commentaries about the vital role nuclear safety inspections conducted by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) play in protecting the public. The initial commentary described how NRC inspectors discovered that limits on the maximum allowable control room air temperature at the Columbia Generating Station in Washington had been improperly relaxed by the plant’s owner. This commentary describes a more recent finding by NRC inspectors about animproper safety assessment of a leaking cooling water system pipe on Entergy’s Unit 3 reactor at Indian Point outside New York City.

Indian Point Unit 3: Leak Before Break

On February 3, 2017, the NRC issued Indian Point a Green finding for a violation of Appendix B to 10 CFR Part 50. Specifically, the owner failed to perform an adequate operability review per its procedures after workers discovered water leaking from a service water system pipe.

On April 27, 2016, workers found water leaking from the pipe downstream of the strainer for service water (SW) pump 31. As shown in Figure 1, SW pump 31 is one of six service water pumps located within the intake structure alongside the Hudson River. The six SW pumps are arranged in two sets of three pumps. Figure 1 shows SW pumps 31, 32, and 33 aligned to provide water drawn from the Hudson River to essential (i.e, safety and emergency) components within Unit 3. SW pumps 34, 35, and 36 are aligned to provide cooling water to non-essential equipment within Unit 3.

Fig. 1 (Source: Nuclear Regulatory Commission Plant Information Book) (click to enlarge)

Each SW pump is designed to deliver 6,000 gallons of flow. During normal operation, one SW pump can handle the essential loads while two SW pumps are needed for the non-essential loads. Under accident conditions, two SW pumps are needed to cool the essential equipment. The onsite emergency diesel generators can power either of the sets of three pumps, but not both simultaneously. If the set of SW pumps aligned to the essential equipment aren’t getting the job done, workers can open/close valves and electrical breakers to reconfigure the second set of three SW pumps to the essential equipment loops.

Because river water can have stuff in it that could clog some of the coolers for essential equipment, each SW pump has a strainer that attempts to remove as much debris as possible from the water. The leak discovered on April 27, 2016, was in the piping between the discharge check valve for SW pump 31 and its strainer. An arrow points to this piping section in Figure 1. The strainers were installed in openings called pits in the thick concrete floor of the intake structure. Water from the leaking pipe flowed into the pit housing the strainer for SW pump 31.

The initial leak rate was modest—estimated to be about one-eighth of a gallon per minute. The leak was similar to other pinhole leaks that had occurred in the concrete-lined, carbon steel SW pipes. The owner began daily checks on the leakage and prepared an operability determination. Basically, “operability determinations” are used within the nuclear industry when safety equipment is found to be impaired or degraded. The operability determination for the service water pipe leak concluded that the impairment did not prevent the SW pumps from fulfilling their required safety function. The operability determination relied on a sump pump located at the bottom of the strainer pit transferring the leaking water out of the pit before the water flooded and submerged safety components.

The daily checks instituted by the owner included workers recording the leak rate and assessing whether it had significantly increased. But the checks were against the previous day’s leak rate rather than the initial leak rate. By September 18, 2016, the leakage had steadily increased by a factor of 64 to 8 gallons per minute. But the daily incremental increases were small enough that they kept workers from finding the overall increase to be significant.

The daily check on October 15, 2016, found the pump room flooded to a depth of several inches. The leak rate was now estimated to be 20 gallons per minute. And the floor drain in the strainer pit was clogged (ironic, huh?) impairing the ability of its sump pump to remove the water. Workers placed temporary sump pumps in the room to remove the flood water and cope with the insignificantly higher leak rate. On October 17, workers installed a clamp on the pipe that reduced the leakage to less than one gallon per minute.

The operability determination was revised in response to concerns expressed by the NRC inspectors. The NRC inspectors were not satisfied by the revised operability determination. It continued to rely on the strainer pit sump pump removing the leaking water. But that sump pump was not powered from the emergency diesel generator and thus would not remove water should offsite power become unavailable. Step 5.6.4 of procedure EN-OP-14, “Operability Determination Process,” stated “If the Operability is based on the use or availability of other equipment, it must be verified that the equipment is capable of performing the function utilized in the evaluation.”

The operability determination explicitly stated that no compensatory measures or operator manual actions were needed to handle the leak, but the situation clearly required both compensatory measures and operator manual actions.

The NRC inspectors found additional deficiencies in the revised operability determination. The NRC inspectors calculated that a 20 gallon per minute leak rate coupled with an unavailable strainer pit sump pump would flood the room to a depth of three feet in three hours. There are no flood alarms in the room and the daily checks might not detect flooding until the level rose to three feet. At that level, water would submerge and potentially disable the vacuum breakers for the SW pumps. Proper vacuum breaker operation could be needed to successfully restart the SW pumps.

The NRC inspectors calculated that the 20 gallon per minute leak rate without remediation would flood the room to the level of the control cabinets for the strainers in 10 hours. The submerged control cabinets could disable the strainers, leading to blocked cooling water flow to essential equipment.

The NRC inspects calculated that the 20 gallon per minute leak rate without remediation would completely fill the room in about 29 hours, or only slightly longer than the daily check interval.

Flooding to depths of 3 feet, 10 feet, and the room’s ceiling affected all six SW pumps. Thus, the flooding represented a common mode threat that could disable the entire service water system. In turn, all safety equipment shown in Figure 2 no longer cooled by the disabled service water system could also be disabled. The NRC estimated that the flooding risk was about 5×10-6 per reactor year, solidly in the Green finding band.

Fig. 2 (Source: Nuclear Regulatory Commission Plant Information Book) (click to enlarge)

UCS Perspective

“Leak before break” is a longstanding nuclear safety philosophy. Books have been written about it (well, at least one report has been written and may even have been read.)  The NRC’s approval of a leak before break analysis can allow the owner of an existing nuclear power reactor to remove pipe whip restraints and jet impingement barriers. Such hardware guarded against the sudden rupture of a pipe filled with high pressure fluid from damaging safety equipment in the area. The leak before break analyses can provide the NRC with sufficient confidence that piping degradation will be detected by observed leakage with remedial actions taken before the pipe fails catastrophically. More than a decade ago, the NRC issued a Knowledge Management document on the leak before break philosophy and acceptable methods of analyzing, monitoring, and responding to piping degradation.

This incident at Indian Point illustrated an equally longstanding nuclear safety practice of “leak before break.” In this case, the leak was indeed followed by a break. But the break was not the failure of the piping but failure of the owner to comply with federal safety regulations. Pipe breaks are bad. Regulation breaks are bad. Deciding which is worse is like trying to decide which eye one wants to be poked in. None is far better than either.

As with the prior Columbia Generating Station case study, this Indian Point case study illustrates the vital role that NRC’s enforcement efforts plays in nuclear safety. Even after NRC inspectors voiced clear concerns about the improperly evaluated service water system pipe leak, Entergy failed to properly evaluate the situation, thus violating federal safety regulations. To be fair to Entergy, the company was probably doing its best, but in recent years, Entergy’s best has been far below nuclear industry average performance levels.

The NRC’s ROP is the public’s best protection against hazards caused by aging nuclear power reactors, shrinking maintenance budgets, emerging sabotage threats, and Entergy.Replacing the NRC’s engineering inspections with self-assessments by Entergy would lessen the effectiveness of that protective shield.

The NRC must continue to protect the public to the best of its ability. Delegating safety checks to owners like Entergy is inconsistent with that important mission.

Support from UCS members make work like this possible. Will you join us? Help UCS advance independent science for a healthy environment and a safer world.

Seismic Activity Before the Sixth Seal: Revelation 6

OVERVIEW | QUAKE DATA | INTERACTIVE MAP | NEW: SEISMOGRAMS | USER REPORTS | EARLIER QUAKES HERE | QUAKES IN THE US | NEW JERSEY | NEW YORK | WASHINGTON DCUnconfirmed earthquake or seismic-like event: 11 mi northwest of Parsippany, Morris County, New Jersey, USA, Wednesday, Jan 11, 2023 at 12:30 pm (GMT -5)

Unconfirmed earthquake or seismic-like event: 11 mi northwest of Parsippany, Morris County, New Jersey, USA, Wednesday, Jan 11, 2023 at 12:30 pm (GMT -5) – 1 day 3 hours ago

Updated: Jan 12, 2023 20:32 GMT – 

I felt this quake

11 Jan 17:57 UTC: First to report: VolcanoDiscovery after 27 minutes.

I felt this quake

I didn’t feel it

Earthquake details

Date & timeJan 11, 2023 17:30:39 UTC – 1 day 3 hours ago
Local time at epicenterWednesday, Jan 11, 2023 at 12:30 pm (GMT -5)
Statusunconfirmed
Magnitudeunknown (3.8?)
Depth20.0 km
Epicenter latitude / longitude40.99428°N / 74.54047°W  (MorrisNew JerseyUnited States)
Antipode40.994°S / 105.46°E
Shaking intensityWeak shaking
Felt565 reports
Primary data sourceVolcanoDiscovery (User-reported shaking)
Nearby towns and cities9 km (6 mi) ESE of Sparta (pop: 19,700) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
18 km (11 mi) NNW of Parsippany (pop: 51,100) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
23 km (15 mi) WNW of Wayne (pop: 57,900) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
32 km (20 mi) WNW of Manchester (pop: 147,800) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
35 km (22 mi) WNW of Clifton (pop: 86,300) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
54 km (33 mi) WNW of Manhattan (New York) (pop: 1,487,500) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
55 km (34 mi) NW of New York (pop: 8,175,100) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
316 km (196 mi) NE of Washington (District of Columbia) (pop: 601,700) | Show on map | Quakes nearby
Weather at epicenter at time of quakeBroken Clouds  0.6°C (33 F), humidity: 61%, wind: 1 m/s (2 kts) from NW

Seismograms

Seismic station: Palisades, New York (PAL/LD network) | Distance from quake: 53 km / 33 mi | Show on map | Station Info

Seismic station Palisades, New York: vertical movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismogram (vertical component) around time of quake. Thin dotted red line indicates time of quake. Seismic waves arrive some time later, depending on distance. Bandpass filter applied: 0.5-10.0 Hz. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Show less

Seismic station Palisades, New York: horizontal (E-W) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)
Seismic station Palisades, New York: horizontal (N-S) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismograms around time of quake, showing horizontal E-W and N-S ground movements. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station: Greenville, DE, USA (GEDE/LD network) | Distance from quake: 161 km / 100 mi | Show on map | Station Info

Seismic station Greenville, DE, USA: vertical movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismogram (vertical component) around time of quake. Thin dotted red line indicates time of quake. Seismic waves arrive some time later, depending on distance. Bandpass filter applied: 0.5-10.0 Hz. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station Greenville, DE, USA: horizontal (E-W) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)
Seismic station Greenville, DE, USA: horizontal (N-S) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismograms around time of quake.
Top: vertical movement, bottom: horizontal (E-W and N-S) movements. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station: University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT (UCCT/LD network) | Distance from quake: 213 km / 132 mi | Show on map | Station Info

Seismic station University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT: vertical movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismogram (vertical component) around time of quake. Thin dotted red line indicates time of quake. Seismic waves arrive some time later, depending on distance. Bandpass filter applied: 0.5-10.0 Hz. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT: horizontal (E-W) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)
Seismic station University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT: horizontal (N-S) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismograms around time of quake.
Top: vertical movement, bottom: horizontal (E-W and N-S) movements. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station: Adam Dziewonski Observatory (Oak Ridge), Massachusetts, USA (HRV/IU network) | Distance from quake: 299 km / 186 mi | Show on map | Station Info

Seismic station Adam Dziewonski Observatory (Oak Ridge), Massachusetts, USA: vertical movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismogram (vertical component) around time of quake. Thin dotted red line indicates time of quake. Seismic waves arrive some time later, depending on distance. Bandpass filter applied: 0.5-10.0 Hz. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station Adam Dziewonski Observatory (Oak Ridge), Massachusetts, USA: horizontal (E-W) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)
Seismic station Adam Dziewonski Observatory (Oak Ridge), Massachusetts, USA: horizontal (N-S) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismograms around time of quake.
Top: vertical movement, bottom: horizontal (E-W and N-S) movements. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station: Erie, Pennsylvania, USA (ERPA/US network) | Distance from quake: 470 km / 292 mi | Show on map | Station Info

Seismic station Erie, Pennsylvania, USA: vertical movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismogram (vertical component) around time of quake. Thin dotted red line indicates time of quake. Seismic waves arrive some time later, depending on distance. Bandpass filter applied: 0.5-10.0 Hz. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

Seismic station Erie, Pennsylvania, USA: horizontal (E-W) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)
Seismic station Erie, Pennsylvania, USA: horizontal (N-S) movement plot around time of quake (source: IRIS/BUD)

Seismograms around time of quake.
Top: vertical movement, bottom: horizontal (E-W and N-S) movements. Source: IRIS Buffer of Uniform Data (BUD) webtool

The Iranian Horn’s Nuclear Threat: Daniel 8

Ambassador Barbara Woodward speaks at the UN Security Council

Iran’s continued nuclear escalation is a threat to international peace and security: UK statement at the Security Council

  • English
  • العربيَّة

Statement by Ambassador Barbara Woodward at the Security Council Briefing on IranFrom:Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office and Dame Barbara Woodward DCMG OBEPublished19 December 2022Location:UN Security CouncilDelivered on:19 December 2022 (Transcript of the speech, exactly as it was delivered)

Thank you, President.

I’d like to start by thanking Under-Secretary-General DiCarlo for her briefing, and the UN Secretariat for its important role supporting implementation of resolution 2231.

I’d also like to thank Ambassador Mythen for his briefing and him and his team for their work as Facilitator during the past two years. And finally, His Excellency Mr. Gonzato, for your briefing on behalf of the JCPoA Coordinator.

Colleagues are aware that in April 2021 negotiations began to return Iran to full JCPoA compliance and the US to the deal. As we’ve heard, the JCPoA Coordinator tabled viable deals in March and August this year, which would have achieved this. Iran refused both packages with unacceptable demands beyond the scope of the JCPoA.

Iran’s continued nuclear escalation is a threat to international peace and security. Today, Iran’s total enriched uranium stockpile exceeds JCPoA limits by at least 18 times and it continues to produce High Enriched Uranium, which is unprecedented for a state without a nuclear weapons programme. Its nuclear actions have no credible civilian justification.

Iranian nuclear breakout time has reduced to a matter of weeks and the time required for Iran to produce the fissile material for multiple nuclear weapons is decreasing. Iran is testing technology with direct application to intermediate and intercontinental range ballistic missiles capable of carrying a nuclear payload.

Iran’s behaviour in the region and at home betrays its claims to be a responsible international actor. As the Secretary-General’s report confirms, Iran continues to provide increasingly complex weapons systems to non-state actors, including the Houthis. It is providing support to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, with UAVs with which Russia is targeting civilians and civilian infrastructure as it did once again, today, against Kyiv. And it is responding to domestic protests in the most brutal fashion. This behaviour makes progress on a nuclear deal much more difficult.

President, Iran and Russia would try to have us believe that the concerns I have expressed today are part of a Western campaign to undermine the Iranian government. This is simply false. Iran’s actions should be a matter of profound concern for us all.

In a year that has seen increased nuclear rhetoric, including from a P5 member, the Council’s focus on Iran’s nuclear programme has never been more critical. In the months ahead it is incumbent on us to ensure that Iran is not able to develop a nuclear weapon.

Thank you.

How Trump Helped the Iranian Nuclear Horn: Daniel 8

Trump admin's decision to withdraw from Iran nuclear deal great strategic blunder: Official
 Former US President Donald Trump

Trump admin’s decision to withdraw from Iran nuclear deal great strategic blunder: Official

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), known commonly as the Iran nuclear deal or Iran deal, was reached in Vienna on July 14, 2015, between Iran and the P5+1 together with the European Union.

 Press Trust of India|   Posted by Abdul Rahman  |   Published: 10th January 2023 12:05 pm IST

Washington: The previous Donald Trump administration’s decision to withdraw from the JCPOA, a crucial agreement on the Iranian nuclear program, is one of the greatest strategic blunders of US foreign policy in recent years, a top official has said.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), known commonly as the Iran nuclear deal or Iran deal, was reached in Vienna on July 14, 2015, between Iran and the P5+1 together with the European Union.

“This (Joe Biden) administration considers the decision on the part of the last administration to withdraw from the JCPOA, one of the greatest strategic blunders of American foreign policy in recent years,” State Department Spokesperson Ned Price told reporters at his daily news conference on Monday.

The P5+1 includes the five permanent members of the Security Council — China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States plus Germany, which during the Barak Obama administration had entered into an agreement with Iran.

The reason the United States was able to get JCPOA to arrive at a diplomatic arrangement was that it worked with allies and partners around the world to put significant economic pressure on Iran, Price said.

“What ultimately brought Iran to the table was not a strategic change in mentality on the part of the regime. It was, I think, a realization that they were under tremendous economic duress. And rather than provide them with a strategic asset, their nuclear program at the time was a strategic liability,” he said.

Price said the goal is to ensure that Iran continues to feel pressure until and unless it changes course. Now you can do that as the United States, the last administration attempted to do that with the strategy of maximum pressure, he said.

“That clearly didn’t work. What history teaches us is that economic pressure is most effective when it’s brought to bear with other allies and partners,” Price said.

“So that’s why we’ve put such a premium on working with our European allies and partners, particularly with the so-called E3, the French, the Brits, and the Germans in this case, but also bringing along other EU allies and partners, countries around the world to see to it that until and unless the Iranian regime changes its approach, it is going to feel the condemnation, but even more importantly the economic and diplomatic pressure of the rest of the world,” he said.

Who is the Antichrist Iraq’s most influential religious-political figure?

Who is Muqtada al-Sadr, Iraq’s most influential religious-political figure?

Sulaiman LkaderiPublished date: 21 October 2021 17:38 UTC| Last update: 10 hours 40 mins ago 111Shares

Muqtada al-Sadr emerged as the frontrunner in Iraq’s 2021 elections. The Shia cleric, militia leader and political kingmaker has played a crucial role in shaping Iraq since the US invasion in 2003. Here’s what you need to know about him.

Nuclear war will happen! Russia’s shocking disclosure: Revelation 16

Nuclear war will happen! Russia’s shocking disclosure, alarm bells rang for America

Moscow. During the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu made a big statement on Tuesday regarding nuclear weapons. He said that the development of ballistic missiles, submarines and strategic bombs will be continued. Because all these weapons will protect the sovereignty of Russia. Apart from this, Defense Minister Shoigu said, ‘We will continue to develop nuclear weapons and will also maintain its combat readiness, because nuclear weapons have been and will continue to be a major reason for Russia’s security. Let us tell you that Russia has been continuously issuing warnings about the use of nuclear weapons.

Ukraine will also increase the combat capabilities of the aerospace forces
At the same time, Sergei Shoigu said, ‘We will also increase the combat capabilities of the aerospace forces. Where modern air security systems are operating, improvements will be made in cases of unmanned aerial vehicles, fighter aircraft and bombs. Explain that Russia has appointed Colonel-General Alexander Lapin as the chief of staff of the country’s army. The state-owned news agency TASS reported Tuesday on his performance in Ukraine despite major scathing criticism.

Lapin was criticized for the defeat of the Russian army from the city of Liman.
Lapin, a former commander of Russia’s Central Military District, was ousted last October by aggressive allies of President Vladimir Putin after Russian forces were driven out of eastern Ukraine’s city of Liman, a key logistics hub. There were extensive reports in the Russian media about former Commander Lapin. But neither confirmed nor denied by the Kremlin.

War bloggers are giving mixed reactions about Lapin
There have also been mixed reactions from influential Russian war bloggers, who have often been critical of Moscow’s faltering military efforts in Ukraine. A former leader of pro-Russian forces in Ukraine’s Donetsk region has questioned Lapin’s credentials as a commander and blamed him for a heavy Russian defeat near the city of Kharkiv last year. Strelkov posted on Telegram on Tuesday criticized Lapin.

First read breaking news in Presswire18 News| Read today’s latest news, live news updates, most reliable Hindi news website News18 Hindi.

The China Horn to Expand Its Military Power

Pentagon Report: China to Expand Its Military Power

WORLDBY OMAR AWAD

January 10, 2023

China accelerates the modernization and expansion of its nuclear force

Soldiers attend strategic military exercise “Vostok-2022” (East) in Moscow, Russia on September 01, 2022. Photo by Anadolu Images

China continued to accelerate the modernization, diversification, and expansion of its nuclear forces, according to the U.S. Defense Department 2022 report on its military and security developments.

These developments came within a broad plan of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to modernize various sectors, including those of the military, security, and defense. China’s defense budget increased by 6.8% to $261 billion in 2021, the U.S. report noted.

The report stressed the efforts of the CCP to “ensure absolute leadership of the CCP over the military” in order to achieve the party’s “broader societal and foreign policy objectives,” based on China’s National Defense in the New Era white paper.

The report indicated that China seeks to rely more on the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and develop its military capabilities, especially its “system of strategic deterrence.” Moreover, it referred to “intensifying and accelerating the PLA’s modernization goals, to include deploying PLA forces on a regular basis and in diversified ways.” The report also expected that the PLA could be used by the CCP to unify Taiwan.

In order to develop its military capabilities, China has adopted the Military-Civil Fusion (MCF) development strategy, which aims to “develop the People’s Liberation Army into a world class military by 2049.” This strategy is based on melding the civil and military sectors through the use of technology and civilian research in the service of the CCP’s military project.

Moreover, the MCF strategy aims to “strengthen all of the PRC’s instruments of national power by melding aspects of its economic, military, and social governance.” It includes “quantum computing, big data, semiconductors, 5G, advanced nuclear technology, aerospace technology, and artificial intelligence.”

In addition to mentioning China’s military goals and strategies, the report dealt with Beijing’s nuclear capabilities and its plan to develop this sector.

China’s nuclear power

The U.S. Department of Defense estimated that China’s operational stockpile of nuclear warheads could reach 1,500 by its 2035 timeline. “China is establishing new nuclear materials production and reprocessing facilities very likely to support its nuclear force expansion,” the report added.

China increased its nuclear modernization efforts in both scale and complexity. It also increased the number of nuclear delivery platforms and constructed necessary infrastructure for the development of its nuclear capabilities.

The report stated that China has nearly 300 ICBMs [intercontinental ballistic missiles] and has started to “establish additional nuclear units and increase the number of launchers in mobile ICBM units from six to 12.” These missiles constitute China’s primary land-based nuclear forces. China complemented its strategic arsenal by short-range and road-mobile ballistic missiles “capable of ranging targets in the Indo-Pacific region.”

As far as sea-based nuclear forces, China likely began “near-continuous at-sea deterrence patrols with its six operational JIN class SSBNs [United States Navy classification for nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines], which are equipped to carry up to 12 SLBMs [submarine-launched ballistic missiles].” The report also mentioned that China is likely to begin constructing its next-generation Type 096 SSBNs in the early 2020s. It expected that China “will operate its JIN and Type 096 SSBN fleets concurrently.”

The report found the fielding of newer, more capable, and longer ranged SLBMs will give the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) “the ability to target the continental United States from littoral waters” and allow it “to consider bastion operations to enhance the survivability of its sea-based deterrent.”

As for its air-based nuclear capabilities, the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) “has operationally fielded the H-6N bomber, providing a platform for the air component of the PRC’s [People’s Republic of China] nascent nuclear triad.” The H-6N bomber added “an air-to-air refueling probe,” in addition to its ability to allow “external carriage of an air-launched ballistic missile (ALBM) assessed to be nuclear capable.”

The Chinese strategy to use nuclear power is “based on PLA deterrence of an enemy first strike and counterstrike when deterrence fails, threatening retaliation against an adversary’s military capability, population, and economy.”

This strategy is also expressed by the public declaratory policy of “no first use” (NFU). That policy states that China will never be the first to use nuclear weapons in a conflict. It means Beijing will “keep its nuclear capabilities at the minimum level required for maintaining its national security.”

Although the PLA has insisted that its nuclear policy has remained clear and consistent, the report saw that “it is unclear whether the buildup of the PLA’s nuclear arsenal may influence or change the PRC’s nuclear strategy in the future.”

The Pentagon report raised doubts about this strategic change in Chinese nuclear power that this is the change China is seeking to grow and transit from a “large country” to a “powerful country.” This means that China needs to grow its military capabilities in order to protect its new growing interests.