A Lack Of Vigilance Before The Sixth Seal (Revelation 6:12)

        

Faults Underlying Exercise Vigilant GuardStory by: (Author NameStaff Sgt. Raymond Drumsta – 138th Public Affairs Detachment
Dated: Thu, Nov 5, 2009
This map illustrates the earthquake fault lines in Western New York. An earthquake in the region is a likely event, says University of Buffalo Professor Dr. Robert Jacobi.
TONAWANDA, NY — An earthquake in western New York, the scenario that Exercise Vigilant Guard is built around, is not that far-fetched, according to University of Buffalo geology professor Dr. Robert Jacobi.
When asked about earthquakes in the area, Jacobi pulls out a computer-generated state map, cross-hatched with diagonal lines representing geological faults.
The faults show that past earthquakes in the state were not random, and could occur again on the same fault systems, he said.
“In western New York, 6.5 magnitude earthquakes are possible,” he said.
This possibility underlies Exercise Vigilant Guard, a joint training opportunity for National Guard and emergency response organizations to build relationships with local, state, regional and federal partners against a variety of different homeland security threats including natural disasters and potential terrorist attacks.
The exercise was based on an earthquake scenario, and a rubble pile at the Spaulding Fibre site here was used to simulate a collapsed building. The scenario was chosen as a result of extensive consultations with the earthquake experts at the University of Buffalo’s Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (MCEER), said Brig. Gen. Mike Swezey, commander of 53rd Troop Command, who visited the site on Monday.
Earthquakes of up to 7 magnitude have occurred in the Northeastern part of the continent, and this scenario was calibrated on the magnitude 5.9 earthquake which occurred in Saguenay, Quebec in 1988, said Jacobi and Professor Andre Filiatrault, MCEER director.
“A 5.9 magnitude earthquake in this area is not an unrealistic scenario,” said Filiatrault.
Closer to home, a 1.9 magnitude earthquake occurred about 2.5 miles from the Spaulding Fibre site within the last decade, Jacobi said. He and other earthquake experts impaneled by the Atomic Energy Control Board of Canada in 1997 found that there’s a 40 percent chance of 6.5 magnitude earthquake occurring along the Clareden-Linden fault system, which lies about halfway between Buffalo and Rochester, Jacobi added.
Jacobi and Filiatrault said the soft soil of western New York, especially in part of downtown Buffalo, would amplify tremors, causing more damage.
“It’s like jello in a bowl,” said Jacobi.
The area’s old infrastructure is vulnerable because it was built without reinforcing steel, said Filiatrault. Damage to industrial areas could release hazardous materials, he added.
“You’ll have significant damage,” Filiatrault said.
Exercise Vigilant Guard involved an earthquake’s aftermath, including infrastructure damage, injuries, deaths, displaced citizens and hazardous material incidents. All this week, more than 1,300 National Guard troops and hundreds of local and regional emergency response professionals have been training at several sites in western New York to respond these types of incidents.
Jacobi called Exercise Vigilant Guard “important and illuminating.”
“I’m proud of the National Guard for organizing and carrying out such an excellent exercise,” he said.
Training concluded Thursday.

Russian Horn Announces Hypersonic Zircon Missile Test: Daniel 7

A Zircon hypersonic cruise missile is launched from the Russian frigate Admiral Gorshkov during a previous test in the White Sea.
A Zircon hypersonic cruise missile is launched from the Russian frigate Admiral Gorshkov during a previous test in the White Sea.

Russia Announces Hypersonic Zircon Missile Test

Russia announced on May 28 that its navy had conducted a further test of one of several hypersonic missiles in development against the backdrop of Moscow’s war in Ukraine and the resulting international isolation. 

The Defense Ministry said that a Zircon cruise missile was launched from the Admiral Gorshkov, a Russian North Sea frigate, in the Barents Sea, at a target in the White Sea about 1,000 kilometers away. 

Russian officials have claimed the sea-based Zircon can evade all existing anti-missile systems, although such a claim is impossible to confirm.

President Vladimir Putin has suggested such missiles’ deployment on Russian frigates, cruisers, or submarines on the high seas could enable strikes on “decision-making centers” within minutes.

Russia has announced previous tests of the Zircon, whose hypersonic speeds are purported to reach nine times the rate of sound. 

Russia’s military has taken a pounding since its troops rolled across its and Belarus’s borders into Ukraine on February 24 into staunch resistance from professional and volunteer Ukrainian fighters supported by Western weapons and reportedly intelligence.

Last month, Russian officials test-launched a new nuclear-capable intercontinental ballistic missile, the Sarmat

Babylon the Great ignorantly tries to deny Iran nuclear weaponry

U.S., Israel sign joint pledge to deny Iran nuclear weaponry

July 14, 20222:56 PM MDTLast Updated a day ago

JERUSALEM, July 14 (Reuters) – U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid signed a joint pledge on Thursday to deny Iran nuclear arms, a show of unity by allies long divided over diplomacy with Tehran.

The undertaking, part of a “Jerusalem Declaration” crowning Biden’s first visit to Israel as president, came a day after he told a local TV station that he was open to “last resort” use of force against Iran – an apparent move toward accommodating Israel’s calls for a “credible military threat” by world powers.

“We will not allow Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon,” Biden told a news conference following the signing of the declaration.

Washington and Israel have separately made veiled statements about possible preemptive war with Iran – which denies seeking nuclear arms – for years. Whether they have the capabilities or will to deliver on this has been subject to debate, however.

Thursday’s statement reaffirmed U.S. support for Israel’s regional military edge and ability “to defend itself by itself”. Widely believed to have the Middle East’s only nuclear arms, Israel sees Iran as a existential threat.

“The United States stresses that integral to this pledge is the commitment never to allow Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon, and that it is prepared to use all elements of its national power to ensure that outcome,” the statement added.

Lapid cast this posture as a way of averting open conflict.

“The only way to stop a nuclear Iran is if Iran knows the free world will use force,” he said after the signing ceremony.

Speaking alongside him, Biden described preventing a nuclear Iran as “a vital security interest for Israel and the United States and, I would add, for the rest of the world as well”.

Biden, who also met former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, received Israel’s Presidential Medal of Honor from Israeli President Isaac Herzog and reiterated America’s “iron-clad commitment” to Israel’s security.

There was no immediate comment from Tehran.

In 2015, Iran signed an international deal capping its nuclear projects with bomb-making potential. In 2018, then-U.S. President Donald Trump quit the pact, deeming it insufficient, a withdrawal welcomed by Israel.

U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid attend the first virtual meeting of the “I2U2” group with leaders of India and the United Arab Emirates, in Jerusalem, July 14, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein

Iran has since ramped up some nuclear activities, putting a ticking clock on world powers’ bid to return to a deal in Vienna talks. Israel now says it would support a new deal with tougher provisions. Iran has balked at submitting to further curbs.

Biden has pushed for a return to talks but said it was up to Iran to respond.

“We are not going to wait forever,” he said.

Beyond enhancing the allies’ sense of deterrence and mutual commitment, Thursday’s power-projection may also offer Biden a boost when he continues on to Saudi Arabia on Friday. Riyadh has its own Iran worries, and Biden hopes to parlay that into a Saudi-Israeli rapprochement under U.S. auspices.

Biden said he and Lapid had discussed how important it was “for Israel to be totally integrated into the region”. Lapid, in turn, deemed Biden’s Saudi trip “extremely important to Israel”.

Hamas, an Islamist group that has helped spearhead the Palestinian struggle against Israel, decried the moves.

Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh issued a statement calling for the formation of “a political alliance to protect the region from domination, normalization and the seizure of its wealth”.

Some Israeli as well as Gulf Arab officials believe the nuclear deal’s sanctions relief would provide Iran with far more money to support proxy forces in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iraq. They are also skeptical about whether the Biden administration will do much to counter Iran’s regional activities.

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A U.S. official, asked if Thursday’s declaration was about buying some time with Israel as Washington pursues negotiations with Iran, said: “If Iran wants to sign the deal that has been negotiated in Vienna, we have made very clear we’re prepared to do that. And, at the same time, if they’re not, we will continue to increase our sanctions pressure, we will continue to increase Iran’s diplomatic isolation.”

The Jerusalem Declaration further committed the United States and Israel to cooperating on defence projects such as laser interceptors, as well as mixed-use technologies, including artificial intelligence and quantum technology.

“We work together as one team, not only in missile defence, we have many different ways of defence cooperation with the U.S,” said Daniel Gold, head of the Directorate of Defense Research and Development in the Israel Ministry of Defense.

The United States was open to future defence grants to Israel, the statement said.

Nuclear Horns To Bolster, Modernize Nuclear Arsenals In ‘Worrying Trend’ Daniel

A streak of light trails off into the night sky as the U.S. military test-fires an unarmed intercontinental ballistic missile at Vandenberg Air Force Base, northwest of Los Angeles, California, in 2017.
A streak of light trails off into the night sky as the U.S. military test-fires an unarmed intercontinental ballistic missile at Vandenberg Air Force Base, northwest of Los Angeles, California, in 2017.

Global Powers Likely To Bolster, Modernize Nuclear Arsenals In ‘Worrying Trend,’ Report Says

The nine nuclear-armed states, including the United States and Russia, are likely to grow and modernize their arsenal of warheads and to be more vocal about it in the coming decade in what is seen as a “worrying trend,” an influential think tank says in its latest annual study.

The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) said on June 13 in its annual report for 2022 that despite a marginal decline in the number of nuclear warheads last year, arsenals are expected to grow over the next 10 years.

“The nine nuclear-armed states — the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, Israel, and (North Korea) — continue to modernize their nuclear arsenals and although the total number of nuclear weapons declined slightly between January 2021 and January 2022, the number will probably increase in the next decade,” SIPRI said.

“There are clear indications that the reductions that have characterized global nuclear arsenals since the end of the Cold War have ended,” said Hans Kristensen, associate senior fellow with SIPRI’s Weapons of Mass Destruction Program and director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists (FAS).

Wilfred Wan, director of SIPRI’s Weapons of Mass Destruction Program, said that “all of the nuclear-armed states are increasing or upgrading their arsenals and most are sharpening nuclear rhetoric and the role nuclear weapons play in their military strategies.”

“This is a very worrying trend,” he added.

SIPRI estimated that nuclear states had a total inventory of 12,705 warheads at the start of 2022, of which about 9,440 were in military stockpiles ready for potential use.

It said an estimated 3,732 warheads were deployed on missiles and aircraft, with about 2,000 being kept in a state of high operational alert — almost all of them belonging to Russia or the United States.

Total U.S. and Russian warhead inventories continued to decline in 2021, but SIPRI added that this was mainly due to the dismantling of warheads that had been retired from military service in past years.

The two powers hold an estimated 90 percent of all nuclear weapons, SIPRI said.

It said that as of January 2022, the United States had 1,744 deployed warheads out of a total inventory of 5,428.

Russia had 1,588 deployed warheads out of a total inventory of 5,977.

The other seven nuclear-armed states are either developing or deploying new weapon systems or have announced intentions to do so, with China specifically in the middle of a substantial expansion of its nuclear arsenal.

Neighbors and bitter rivals Pakistan (165 total inventory) and India (160) have similarly sized arsenals, according to SIPRI

India’s ‘Accidental’ Firing of a Missile Into Pakistan Will Trigger the First Nuclear War: Revelation 8

india fires missile attack pakistan

India’s ‘Accidental’ Firing of a Missile Into Pakistan Is Serious Cause for Alarm

The Indian government acknowledged on Friday that it fired a missile into neighboring Pakistan earlier this week, attributing the incident to “a technical malfunction.”

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is consuming the bandwidth of world leaders. But the potential for rapid escalation between India and Pakistan — two nuclear-armed neighbors that have fought three wars — is a serious cause for concern. 

India Fires ‘World’s Fastest’ BrahMos Missile Into Pakistan

On Thursday, Pakistan’s military spokesman Major General Babar Iftikhar said that a “high-speed flying object” originating from India fell approximately 80 miles inside Pakistani territory the previous evening. Iftikhar described the projectile as “a supersonic flying object, most probably a missile” that “was certainly unarmed.”

The missile destroyed a home in the Pakistani city of Mian Channu, but does not appear to have caused any loss of life.

Indian news outlets, citing unnamed government sources, report that the object was a BrahMos supersonic cruise missile, which is co-developed by New Delhi and Moscow. Russia is India’s largest foreign supplier of arms and India is one of Russia’s closest allies. India’s Defense Research and Development Organization (DRDO) partnered with Russia’s rocket design firm NPO Mashinostroyeniya, which was sanctioned by the Obama administration in 2014 and hit with additional sanctions earlier this month.

BrahMos is a medium-range, supersonic cruise missile that can be launched by air, land, or sea — including submarine and warship platforms. The missile that entered Pakistan may have been launched from a specialized truck. It can travel faster than the speed of sound and, by some accounts, is the world’s fastest cruise missile.

The BrahMos missile is not publicly acknowledged to be a nuclear-capable missile, though whether it remains capable of carrying just conventional payloads has become more ambiguous in recent years.

Four Reasons Why the Indian Missile Fired at Pakistan is a Big Deal

1) India and Pakistan Are Nuclear-Armed Adversaries

India and Pakistan are nuclear powers. Both have fought three (some say, four) wars against one another.

The two countries have come close to war numerous times after becoming declared nuclear powers in 1998.

The most recent crisis Indo-Pak crisis was in February 2019 after India — claiming to respond to a suicide attack on its forces in Pulwama, Kashmir — conducted airstrikes hitting an unpopulated area in Balakot, located in northern Pakistan. The next day, the Pakistan Air Force shot town an Indian fighter jet, capturing a pilot, Wing Commander Abhinandan Varthaman.

India and Pakistan have established channels of communication to prevent and manage crises. These include a hotline used to inform one another of nuclear missile tests. 

But this incident could indicate deficiencies in India’s military command — deficiencies that could have catastrophic effects in an actual crisis.

On Friday, an unnamed senior Pakistani security official said that this week’s missile firing raises concerns that India had “missiles in ready-to-launch positions and pointed at Pakistan, and that too without any safeguard of a command and control system.” Others in Pakistan are speculating that the missile launch was no accident — that India was probing for weaknesses in Pakistan’s air defense, exploiting the world’s focus on Ukraine.

2) Potential for Mass Civilian Deaths

The Indian missile reportedly damaged or destroyed a home in the small city of Mian Channu, though it does not appear to have caused any casualties. While the missile was not deployed with a warhead, it could have caused catastrophic damage if it struck an airplane or a more densely populated area. 

According to the Pakistani Air Force’s Air Vice Marshall Tariq Zia, the missile traveled in the vicinity of a civilian air route that was actively being used by two commercial airlines and at roughly the same elevation.

3) India Didn’t Acknowledge the Missile of Firing For Two Days

The “accidental” missile launch took place on Wednesday, but the Indian government only acknowledged it publicly on Friday — a brazen lack of seriousness given the potential for nuclear escalation with neighbor Pakistan.

India’s News 9 reports that officials in New Delhi contacted their Pakistani counterparts “immediately” after the firing of the missile, though these claims have not been corroborated by the Pakistani media or government officials.

Sushant Singh, a former Indian army officer, writes that Pakistani officials have said that the bilateral hotline at the director-general of military operations level was not utilized by India to inform the other side of the missile launch. And he notes that Indian officials have yet to dispute this Pakistani claim.

4) Hindu Nationalists Promote Disinformation During Potential Crisis

Not only did India not publicly acknowledge the Pakistan missile strike, but Hindu nationalist or Hindutva elements linked or sympathetic to the Indian government actively promoted disinformation on the incident. 

On Thursday, OpIndia, a right-wing website linked to India’s Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party, claimed that the Pakistani allegations were conjured to deflect attention from political turmoil at home. India is the world’s largest disseminator of fake news.

Its fake news ecosystem went into overdrive during the 2019 Balakot crisis, falsely claiming that it shot down a Pakistani F-16. This disinformation was propagated not just by right-wing media outlets in India, but also by its mainstream news channels. New Delhi could leverage its fake news ecosystem to mobilize public support for a war fought on a false premise.

New York City ad on surviving the Bowls of Wrath: Revelation 16

New York City ad on surviving a nuclear attack raises eyebrows

New York City’s emergency management office on Wednesday defended its decision to produce a public service announcement advising residents how to survive a nuclear attack after some questioned the advisory’s timing.

The goal of the campaign is to inform the public on ways to stay safe if nuclear weapons were pointed in New York’s direction, a department spokesperson told Reuters.

“There is no direct threat to the city but we felt it was important that we addressed this topic,” said Allison Pennisi, head of public information for NYC Emergency Management.

Released online on Monday, the 90-second video lays out three steps New Yorkers should follow if “the big one has hit,” though officials say the likelihood of an attack is “very low.”

It says people should seek shelter inside a building away from windows, stay inside to reduce exposure to radioactive dust, and follow media for official updates.

Opinion on the streets was divided.

“I think this message is a little alarming,” said Lauren Hurwitz, a New York realtor. “Quite frankly, there’s so many other things going on to worry about. And if I have to find cover somewhere, I definitely will.”

Matt Devine, a sales worker at a New York tech startup, said he felt that it was justified, though.

“Just as a precautionary measure more than anything else. Yeah, I’m scared, to tell you the truth. I’m scared. I think about it a lot.”

White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan told reporters Wednesday that the federal government did not play a role in launching the video, nor does he believe that it was a result of intelligence sharing.

New York Councilmember Joann Ariola, who chairs a committee that oversees the emergency management department, told Reuters the public service announcement was one of many that were created based on issues raised by residents.

At a Tuesday press conference, New York Mayor Eric Adams applauded city officials for being proactive and denied that it was “alarmist.”

The video was released as worries mount about the potential use of nuclear weapons as the West responds to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Last week former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev warned that it would be “absurd” to punish a country such as Russia that had expansive nuclear capabilities.

Russian officials have also warned the United States and other countries that oppose the Ukrainian invasion to avoid any actions that would risk nuclear war.

Really? Biden says US would use force as ‘last resort’ to prevent Iranian nuclear weapons

 (Independent)
(Independent)

Biden says US would use force as ‘last resort’ to prevent Iranian nuclear weapons

Wed, July 13, 2022, 11:18 AM

The United States would use force to prevent Iran from acquiring or developing nuclear weapons if all other options fail, President Joe Biden has said.

Mr Biden said the US would use its’ military to prevent Iran’s nuclear program from succeeding in bringing about a working nuclear weapon during an interview with Israel’s Channel 12 news.

After his interviewer raised prior comments in which Mr Biden had said he’d do anything to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear power, she asked if that meant he would use force against Iran.

Mr Biden replied: “If it’s the last resort, yes”.

The president also defended his administration’s push to restore the Obama-era agreement which had briefly halted Iran’s nuclear program. The Biden administration has been in negotiations with Tehran in an attempt to bring back the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, the formal name of the deal negotiated between Iran, the EU, and the five permanent nuclear weapons states, the US, the UK, China, Russia, and France.

“The only thing worse than the Iran that exists now is the Iran with nuclear weapons,” Mr Biden said.

He added that he believes it was a “giant mistake” for the Trump administration to back out of the agreement because Iran is “closer to a nuclear weapon now than they were before,” but he also said he is committed to keeping Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps on the State Department’s list of foreign terrorist organisations, even if it kills any chance of rebooting the agreement.